Free Webinar on Swedish Broadband Consumer Study

10 Apr

The FTTH Council Europe and Diffraction Analysis are running a free webinar on April 15th at 11 AM Central European Time. Benoît Felten and Joeri van Bogart will present and discuss the results of the quantitative study entitled Why Consumers Love FTTH – The FTTH Consumer Experience Study. Here are some of the one-line results from this study:

• In Sweden a huge majority FTTH users (75%) think their broadband is better than before they had fibre.
• 67% of Swedish broadband users think broadband over fibre is ‘Very Good’, but only 13% think the same of DSL.
• Swedish FTTH subscribers use video-communication over the Internet five times as much (25%) as DSL users.
• In Sweden 59% of FTTH users see FTTH as modern. Only 17% of DSL users see DSL as modern.
• In Sweden, 34% of FTTH users are 4Play or 3Play customers vs. only 23% for DSL users.
• In Sweden 59% of FTTH users think fibre broadband is sustainable. Only 44% of DSL users think the same of DSL.
• In Sweden, 59% of DSL users find their broadband price excessive vs. only 32% for FTTH users.
• For FTTH users in Sweden, quality of broadband is the 1st criterion after home price when choosing a new home.
• Close to half of Swedish FTTH users (45%) are Very Satisfied with their broadband vs. only 28% of DSL users.

During this session, we will discuss all of these results and much much more. Please join us by registering on the following address: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/826247690

Diffraction Analysis at Broadband Communities

26 Mar

BBC Summit 2014pink_woDATE - regonline-H.jpg

The Broadband Communities Summit is probably the most exciting broadband event in the US. It’s not one of those corporate events built by and for industry sponsors, it’s an event run by the good people at Broadband Communities magazine and focuses on sharing experiences so that communities who have managed to develop (directly or indirectly) good broadband can share that experience back with those who are looking into these issues. And of course it doesn’t stop there, look at that agenda!

So we’re very pleased to say that not only will Diffraction Analysis be there, but CEO Benoît Felten will be speaking at the event during the Cornerstone Awards Luncheon on Wednesday April 9th. Diffraction Analysis customers and followers can attend the whole event at a steep discount (over 50%) by selecting the first button (CODE HOLDERS) on the registration page and entering the code SPKR14.

Benoît would also like to propose to attendees who are interested in discussing industry trends, best practices in broadband deployment or specific issues / pain points they may have related to operational issues some one on one sessions during the event. Please feel free to contact us by email to organize this if you’re interested.

See you in Austin!

NZ govt rejects Vodafone’s NBN offer

7 Mar

See on Scoop.itConnected World

UFB deployment to continue.

Benoit Felten‘s insight:

Sneaky but clever move from Vodafone. Good that the government held it’s ground: implementing structural separation to then let a vertically integrated player provide wholesale would have been a catastrophic move. 

See on www.itnews.com.au

Talking Smart Cities in Stockholm

5 Mar

The week before last, after the FTTH Council Conference in Stockholm, Stokab and Stocholm IT Region organized an event for their customers and stakeholders. They filmed the whole proceedings and have put it all up on a the Stockholm IT Region website. Since all of the speeches were of great interest, here are individual links to each one of them:

The morning started with an address by the Chairman of the Board of Stokab, followed by a fun presentation on the history of telecommunications in Stockholm by Anders Johansson.

This was followed by a very interesting presentation by Ericsson’s Head of Strategic Marketing on Smart Cities, presenting Ericsson’s Networked Society Index. You can find the Index itself here. What was interesting, beyond the ranking itself, was the trends emerging in terms of infrastructure, affordability of services and usage maturity.

Which led to Diffraction Analysis’ intervention, specifically on Smart Cities and the Infrastructure issues that are raised by connected community initiatives. It’s not the first time we deliver this speech, but I believe it was very appropriate to this audience and went down well. You be the judge.

Then followed an excellent speech by Christopher Mitchell on the US market and how some cities are taking broadband matters into their own hands (and others can’t). Christopher also talked about Google Fiber and the impact it’s having on the US market.

Henry Quek of Singapore’s regulator iDA then detailed how Singapore led the pack in terms of NGA and structural separation, and in particular showed how despite quasi-universal coverage the story is not over. Some fascinating things about enabling Smart City applications there, and a graph from Diffraction Analysis research quoted, always good for our ego.

The final speaker of the day was Chorus’ Martin Sharrock who explained very clearly how groundbreaking the New Zealand NGA model is, and the challenges that it faces from political turmoil.

There was finally a 45mn Q&A session with Ulla Hamilton (City of Stockholm), Crister Mattsson (Acreo) and Benoît Felten (Diffraction Analysis). The discussion was very complementary to some of the discussions had during the Investor’s Day earlier in the week: EU political process, structural separation, community involvement, etc.

Since Stokab then ran separate interviews of all the speakers, here’s Benoît Felten’s interview that summarizes some of the topics discussed during the presentations and panel discussions.

White Paper: Connectivity Models for Developing Economies

3 Mar

ConnectivityThumbThere are recurring misconceptions about broadband in emerging markets. These are considered “truths” and repeated in newspaper articles and at telecom events. For example:

  • “There’s no space for wireline services in developing economies!”
  • “FTTH in emerging markets? You’ve got to be joking!”
  • “There will never be a way to deliver mobile services outside of urban areas in these markets!”

But the urban mobile model that is often described is not a universal truth, far from it. A few months ago the Google policy team contacted Diffraction Analysis and asked us to analyze alternative connectivity models were and how they worked. The result is this white paper entitled Connectivity Models for Developing Economies. In this paper we examine a number of cases that do not conform to the “standard” model being displayed for developing economies. We also examine policy approaches that seem to have made a measurable difference.

This paper does not offer a silver bullet solution for all developing economies: there’s no such thing. It does however analyse interesting case studies and looks at the replicable aspects of some of these models.

You can find the paper on SSRN through the following link: Connectivity Models for Developing Economies.

Why Super-Fast Internet Is Coming Super Slowly

26 Feb

See on Scoop.itConnected World

In The Wall Street Journal, Andy Kessler writes that the FCC could change this overnight by focusing on what’s best for the economy, not just for those it regulates.

Benoit Felten‘s insight:

The underlying current of "it’s the cities’ fault" in this piece is one more reason every city in America (and many outside of America) should seriously ask themselves if taking their broadband future in their own hands isn’t the better option…

See on online.wsj.com

Consumer Study Teaser Summary

26 Feb

During the days preceeding the Sotckholm FTTH Council Annual Conference, we published a good number of tweets teasing some of the results of the first FTTH Consumer Survey. This study was undertaken in december with a panel of 400 users, 3/4 of which were FTTH/B users.

The full results were presented in Stockholm, and will be presented during a free-to-attend webinar sometime in April, but meanwhile I thought it might be interesting for those who haven’t read all the teasers to have them all in one place:

  • In Sweden a huge majority FTTH users (75%) think their broadband is better than before they had fiber.
  • 67% of Swedish broadband users think broadband over fiber is ‘Very Good’, but only 13% think the same of DSL.
  • Swedish FTTH subscribers use video-communication over the Internet five times as much (25%) as DSL users.
  • In Sweden the average FTTH user spends 5.3 hrs online at home, 6.7 hrs for <35 yrs old. DSL only 4.1 hrs.
  • In Sweden 59% of FTTH users see FTTH as modern. Only 17% of DSL users see DSL as modern.
  • In Sweden, 34% of FTTH users are 4Play or 3Play customers vs. only 23% for DSL users.
  • In Sweden 59% of FTTH users think fiber broadband is sustainable. Only 44% of DSL users think the same of DSL.
  • In Sweden, 59% of DSL users find their broadband price excessive vs. only 32% for FTTH users.
  • For FTTH users in Sweden, quality of broadband is the 1st criterion after home price when choosing a new home.
  • Close to half of Swedish FTTH users (45%) are Very Satisfied with their broadband vs. only 28% of DSL users.

FTTH Takes Online Gaming to the Next Level | Optical Reflection

25 Feb

See on Scoop.itConnected World

Benoit Felten‘s insight:

The next step is to convince policy makers that there is value in the gaming market. It’s bizarre how "entertainment" is a great market when it comes to touting your export achievements, but not so much when it comes to justifying investment in infrastructure…

See on opticalreflection.com

FTTH Council Europe 2014: less gloom, more pragmatism

24 Feb

Stockholm in Winter

Last week I was in Stockholm all week for the 2014 edition of the FTTH Council Europe’s annual conference. It was a very good week for me (though sleep deprivation nearly got me in the end) with lots of great meetings with customers, potential customers, fellow analysts / consultants and friends. I’m not going to write a long analysis of the event (got to catch up on the million things I couldn’t get done while there) but here’s a set bullet points that summarize my feelings about it:

  • the atmosphere at the event was miles better than last year. Much more positive, better interaction, better content (at least for the little I got to attend),
  • the Council, while not endorsing VDSL in any form seems a little more relaxed around the idea that there are alternatives that make more sense for some players in some situations. It’s a good thing: more pragmatism cannot hurt the industry,
  • key finding: the second wave of FTTH deployment in Sweden is happening under a totally different model; Skanova’s CEO stated that customers were willing to pay 2000€ to get their connection installed, which would pay for most of the up-front cost,
  • the above statement didn’t surprise me as much as it could have: in between the results of our qualitative study on real-estate last year (and some follow-up work I’ll talk to you about soon) and the quantitative study on attitudes, usage and satisfaction this year, it’s quite obvious to me that most Swedes know that fibering up your home is a sound investment that also delivers great quality services (or the other way around),
  • said quantitative study was very well received, and exposes what I believe to be the first ever usage & attitudes analysis of FTTH users in a mature market (Sweden in this case). Hopefully there will be other iterations in other countries,
  • key finding: there is a third (besides Andorra Telecom and Jersey Telecom) that is doing fiber/copper substitution, on a much larger scale. It’s Telekom Indonesia, and their plans are quite advanced, targeting millions of users. Will need to investigate that one more fully,
  • key finding: Mobiliy (Saudi Arabia) is really one of the most interesting FTTH operators, very smart in its approach. I knew this from their technical operations, but their marketing operations are just as smart,
  • there’s a quasi-religious zeal in the promotion of the Swedish Open Access Model in some parts of the market there. I’ve long been aware that the model is not as widespread as it’s advertised to be, and has some deleterious side-effects on the industry, so tread with caution and don’t buy (all) the hype. It’s worked for Sweden (at some cost) but isn’t necessarily the best way to implement Open Access in my opinion,
  • key finding: TWDM is a damn interesting technology, especially in its regulatory implications. Another thing I need to dig into deeper,
  • finally, there was one thing that puzzled me deeply, and that is the Operator Award received by Vodafone. Sure, they have some FTTH in Portugal, and might have a bit in Spain soon, but for a player their size, they’re not exactly commited to the technology. Maybe it’s like Obama’s Nobel Peace Price. Let’s hope it works better…

Thanks to all of you who came by the Diffraction Analysis booth to chat or discuss collaboration. Kudos to the FTTH Council who pulled (in my opinion) the best annual conference of those I’ve attended to far. See you next year in Warsaw!

Google Reportedly Moving Towards Delivering 10Gbps Download Speeds With Google Fiber | Droid Life

14 Feb

See on Scoop.itConnected World

Benoit Felten‘s insight:

There are two ways to read this. One is to dismiss it entirely as yet more vaporware (lord knows there’s been a fair amount of that around Google Fiber). The other is to conclude that Google deployed P2P (unlikely) or is looking into WDM-PON (more likely). Either way, does it really change the name of the game ?

See on www.droid-life.com